Efficient Screening in Obstructive Sleep Apnea Using Sequential Machine Learning Models, Questionnaires, and Pulse Oximetry Signals: Mixed Methods Study

Background Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is a prevalent sleep disorder characterized by frequent pauses or shallow breathing during sleep. Polysomnography, the gold standard for OSA assessment, is time consuming and labor intensive, thus limiting diagnostic efficiency. Objective This study aims to develop 2 sequential machine learning models to efficiently screen and differentiate OSA. Methods We used 2 datasets comprising 8444 cases from the Sleep Heart Health Study (SHHS) and 1229 cases from Taipei Veterans General Hospital (TVGH). The Questionnaire Model (Model-Questionnaire) was designed to distinguish OSA from primary insomnia using demographic information and Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index questionnaires, while the Saturation Model (Model-Saturation) categorized OSA severity based on multiple blood oxygen saturation parameters. The performance of the sequential machine learning models in screening and assessing the severity of OSA was evaluated using an independent test set derived from TVGH. Results The Model-Questionnaire achieved an F1-score of 0.86, incorporating demographic data and the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index. Model-Saturation training by the SHHS dataset displayed an F1-score of 0.82 when using the power spectrum of blood oxygen saturation signals and reached the highest F1-score of 0.85 when considering all saturation-related parameters. Model-saturation training by the TVGH dataset displayed an F1-score of 0.82. The independent test set showed stable results for Model-Questionnaire and Model-Saturation training by the TVGH dataset, but with a slightly decreased F1-score (0.78) in Model-Saturation training by the SHHS dataset. Despite reduced model accuracy across different datasets, precision remained at 0.89 for screening moderate to severe OSA. Conclusions Although a composite model using multiple saturation parameters exhibits higher accuracy, optimizing this model by identifying key factors is essential. Both models demonstrated adequate at-home screening capabilities for sleep disorders, particularly for patients unsuitable for in-laboratory sleep studies.