Bayesian cross-product quality control via transfer learning

ABSTRACT Quality control is essential for modern business success. The traditional statistical process control (SPC), however, lacks efficacy in current high-variety low-volume industrial practices since the historical reference data in Phase I are usually too scarce to infer the in-control process parameters accurately. To solve this ‘small data’ challenge, a novel Bayesian process monitoring scheme via transfer learning is proposed to facilitate a cross-product data sharing. In particular, a joint prior distribution is taken to explicitly capture the relatedness between the process data of two similar products, through which the process information can be transferred from one product (source domain) to improve the Bayesian inference for the other product (target domain). The posteriors can be derived analytically in closed forms by using generalised hypergeometric functions, thereby leading to a computationally efficient control chart for the online real-time monitoring in Phase II. A user-specified parameter is also provided to enable a better theoretical understanding of the transferability matter and a free practical control of the transferred information across domains. Extensive numerical simulations and real example studies of an assembly process validate the superiority of our proposed scheme in terms of both the false alarm rate and detection capability.