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RapidLiq: Software for Near-Real-Time Prediction of Soil Liquefaction

地理空间分析 软件 比例(比率) 计算机科学 光栅图形 数据挖掘 回归分析 回归 地震动 预测建模 地理信息系统 地形 逻辑回归 人工智能 机器学习 遥感 自动化 液化 地质学 工程类 平面图(考古学) 基本事实 鉴定(生物学) 软件系统
作者
Geyin, Mertcan,Maurer, Brett
标识
DOI:10.17603/ds2-4bka-y039
摘要

RapidLiq is a Windows software program for predicting liquefaction-induced ground failure using geospatial models, which are particularly suited for regional scale applications such as: (i) loss estimation and disaster simulation; (ii) city planning and policy development; (iii) emergency response; and (d) post-event reconnaissance (e.g., to remotely identify sites of interest). RapidLiq v1.0 includes four such models. One is a logistic regression model developed by Rashidian and Baise (2020), which has been adopted into United States Geological Survey (USGS) post-earthquake data products, but which is not often implemented by individuals owing to the geospatial variables that must be compiled. The other three models are machine and deep learning models (ML/DL) proposed by Geyin et al. (2021). These models are driven by algorithmic learning (benefiting from ML/DL insights) but pinned to a physical framework (benefiting from mechanics and the knowledge of regression modelers). While liquefaction is a physical phenomenon best predicted by mechanics, subsurface traits lack theoretical links to above-ground parameters, but correlate in complex, interconnected ways - a prime problem for ML/DL. All four models are described in an acompanying paper manuscript. All necessary predictor variables are compiled within RapidLiq, making user implementation trivial. The only required input is a ground motion raster easily downloaded within minutes of an earthquake, or available for enumerable future earthquake scenarios. This gives the software near-real-time capabilities, such that ground failure can be predicted at regional scale within minutes of an earthquake. The software outputs geotiff files mapping the probabilities of liquefaction-induced ground failure. These files may be viewed within the software or explored in greater detail using GIS or one of many free geotiff web explorers (e.g., http://app.geotiff.io/). The software also allows for tabular input, should a user wish to enter specific sites of interest and ground-motion parameters at those sites, rather than study the regional effects of an earthquake. RapidLiq v.1.0 operates in the contiguous U.S. and completes predictions within 10 seconds for most events.

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