Accumulation characteristics, driving factors, and model prediction of cadmium in soil-highland barley system on the Tibetan Plateau

Cadmium (Cd) poses major human health problems due to its high toxicity and organ bioaccumulation potential. This study collected and analysed 130 pairs of representative soil-highland barley samples on the Tibetan Plateau. The total soil Cd content (Cd-soil), available soil Cd (Cd-ava), and highland barley Cd contents (Cd-barley) ranged from 0.03 to 0.46 mg kg-1, 0.006-0.185 mg kg-1, and 0.57-13.62 μg kg-1, with mean values of 0.19 ± 0.01 mg kg-1, 0.045 ± 0.003 mg kg-1, and 4.57 ± 0.17 μg kg-1, respectively. Redundancy analysis (RDA) demonstrated that geographic factors and soil properties explained 28.46% of the variation in Cd-soil and Cd-ava, and precipitation (14.6%) and pH (9.1%) were the dominant factors. The structural equation model (SEM) indicated that Cd-soil and Cd-ava were predominantly controlled by pH. Furthermore, the Cd-soil, Cd-ava, and Cd-barley with significantly different environmental conditions were more accurately predicted by conditional inference trees-multiple linear regression (CITs-MLR). When Cd-soil is more than 0.376 mg kg-1, Cd-ava obtains the most accurate predictor (R2 =0.64, P < 0.01). This study provides new scientific insight into understanding the environmental biogeochemical nexus of Cd in the complex and fragile plateau environment and evaluating food security on the Tibetan Plateau under the self-sufficiency model of highland barley.