Soil properties override climate controls on global soil organic carbon stocks

Abstract. Soil organic carbon (SOC) accounts for two-thirds of terrestrial carbon. Yet, the role of soil physiochemical properties in regulating SOC stocks is unclear, inhibiting reliable SOC predictions under land use and climatic changes. Using legacy observations from 141,584 soil profiles worldwide, we disentangle the effects of biotic, climatic and edaphic factors (a total of 30 variables) on the global spatial distribution of SOC stocks in four sequential soil layers down to 2 m. The results indicate that the 30 variables can explain 70–80 % of the global variance of SOC in the four layers, to which edaphic properties contribute ~ 60 %. Soil lower limit is the most important individual soil properties, positively associated with SOC in all layers, while climatic variables are secondary. This dominant effect of soil properties challenges current climate-driven framework of SOC dynamics, and need to be considered to reliably project SOC changes for effective carbon management and climate change mitigation.