Association between progesterone to number of mature oocytes index and live birth in GnRH antagonist protocols

Abstract

Research question

What is the association between blood progesterone level alone, progesterone to mature oocytes index (PMOI) and IVF outcomes?

Design

Clinical data from 960 couples undergoing their first fresh embryo transfer after an intracytoplasmic sperm injection attempt carried out between September 2012 and July 2017 were analysed. All patients underwent ovarian stimulation combining recombinant FSH and gonadotrophin releasing hormone antagonist. Progesterone was measured on the day on which ovulation was triggered. The PMOI was divided into four groups based on 25th, 50th and 75th percentiles, and live birth and implantation rates were compared between the groups.

Results

A negative association was found between PMOI levels, live birth and implantation rates. When adjusting for age, ovarian stimulation index (OSI) and number of embryos transferred, the PMOI remained negatively correlated to live birth rate (LBR) (OR = 0.147 [0.031 to 0.701]; P = 0.0161), whereas total blood progesterone was no longer evident. Moreover, the LBR (18.5% versus 28.4%; P < 0.01) and implantation rate (12.4% versus 21.0%; P < 0.01) were significantly decreased only when PMOI was 0.167 ng/ml or greater, irrespective of progesterone concentration (< or ≥1.08 ng/ml). The opposite was not true, however. Similar PMOIs were recorded in the same patient from one attempt to the next, and were partially linked to basal FSH, anti-Müllerian hormone, antral follicle count and OSI.

Conclusions

PMOI seems to be more predictive than total progesterone level of IVF outcome and reflects the ability of embryos to develop as it is linked to the implantation rate.