不可见的
计算机科学
缩小
关键基础设施
数学优化
极小极大
非线性系统
出租车
公共交通
脆弱性(计算)
运筹学
投资(军事)
凸优化
非线性规划
预算约束
城市轨道交通
放松(心理学)
计算机安全
光学(聚焦)
机场保安
最优化问题
工程类
范围(计算机科学)
激励
公共基础设施
风险分析(工程)
威胁模型
运输工程
过电流
作者
Susan Kouroshniya,Reza Mohammad Hasany
出处
期刊:Risk Analysis
[Wiley]
日期:2026-04-16
卷期号:46 (5): e70216-e70216
摘要
The vulnerability of transportation infrastructure is critical to the optimal performance of public transit systems, particularly rail networks, which have consistently been targeted by terrorist attacks. This article aims to identify critical arcs vulnerable to attacks and to evaluate attacker and defender behavior under varying budget levels. We present a continuous nonlinear bi-objective optimization model in which the attacker seeks to maximize the average travel time and the weighted variance, whereas the defender aims to minimize them. We focus on defense measures that are rapidly reallocated and can be kept partially or fully unobservable (e.g., allocation of guards to protect the railway), motivating a simultaneous model. Durable, observable hardening investments are beyond our current scope and are more appropriately addressed with sequential models. To solve the model at scale, we employ a combination of the Lagrange relaxation method and the Frank-Wolfe algorithm to transform the Minimax model into a convex nonlinear minimization model. Results show that the proposed model successfully identifies critical arcs and demonstrates that increased defensive investment can significantly reduce attacker impact. A case study on Iran's railway reveals a linear, nonlinear, or peak-like attacker-defender behavior by considering budget thresholds beyond which attacks become ineffective.
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