不可见的
供应链
估价(财务)
下游(制造业)
信息共享
信息的价值
实证研究
库存(枪支)
订单(交换)
上游(联网)
价值(数学)
运筹学
计算机科学
计量经济学
经济
业务
营销
运营管理
统计
数学
人工智能
万维网
工程类
机器学习
机械工程
计算机网络
财务
作者
Ruomeng Cui,Gad Allon,Achal Bassamboo,Jan A. Van Mieghem
出处
期刊:Management Science
[Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences]
日期:2015-11-01
卷期号:61 (11): 2803-2824
被引量:86
标识
DOI:10.1287/mnsc.2014.2132
摘要
We provide an empirical and theoretical assessment of the value of information sharing in a two-stage supply chain. The value of downstream sales information to the upstream firm stems from improving upstream order fulfillment forecast accuracy. Such an improvement can lead to lower safety stock and better service. Based on the data collected from a consumer packaged goods company, we empirically show that, if the company includes the downstream sales data to forecast orders, the improvement in the mean squared forecast error ranges from 7.1% to 81.1% across all studied products. Theoretical models in the literature, however, suggest that the value of information sharing should be zero for over half of our studied products. To reconcile the gap between the literature and the empirical observations, we develop a new theoretical model. Whereas the literature assumes that the decision maker strictly adheres to a given inventory policy, our model allows him to deviate, accounting for private information held by the decision maker, yet unobservable to the econometrician. This turns out to reconcile our empirical findings with the literature. These “decision deviations” lead to information losses in the order process, resulting in a strictly positive value of downstream information sharing. Furthermore, we empirically quantify and show the significance of the value of operations knowledge—the value of knowing the downstream replenishment policy. This paper was accepted by Serguei Netessine, operations management.
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