Bone marrow tracer uptake pattern of PET-CT in multiple myeloma: image interpretation and prognostic value

To evaluate the prognostic value of bone marrow (BM) imaging pattern and other imaging findings assessed by 18F-FDG PET-CT in multiple myeloma(MM) and to find out the image interpretation cut-off to define different BM tracer uptake pattern.We retrospectively studied PET-CT examinations and clinical data of 100 healthy individuals and 172 newly diagnosed MM patients. A BM uptake > liver SUVmean was selected as the positivity cut-off of pathological uptake in BM after comparing BM uptake in normal control and MM patients. With this interpretation cut-off, we defined the BM FDG uptake pattern as four types: normal, focal, diffuse, and mixed. The clinical correlation and prognostic value of BM uptake pattern were evaluated. The findings were validated in an independent prospective cohort with 72 MM patients.In MM cohort, 34.9% patients had focal BM uptake pattern, 3.5% had diffuse pattern, 38.4% had mixed pattern, and 23.3% had normal BM uptake. Diffuse/mixed pattern was correlated with clinical and imaging parameters indicating high tumor burden, and inferior progression free survival (PFS; 3-year-PFS 26.8%) and overall survival (OS; 3-year-OS 50.6%). BM uptake pattern was an independent prognostic factor and diffuse/mixed pattern was associated with inferior OS (P = 0.037, HR 7.16) and PFS (P = 0.015, HR 7.77). The prognostic value of BM uptake pattern was also confirmed in validation set.We propose an FDG uptake higher than liver as the positivity cut-off to discriminate between physiological and pathological uptake in BM and defined four BM FDG uptake pattern. BM FDG uptake pattern is a reliable prognostic predictor of MM.