Influence of clinical and radiological parameters on the likelihood of neurological improvement after surgery for degenerative cervical myelopathy

Degenerative cervical myelopathy (DCM) is routinely treated with surgical decompression, but disparate postoperative outcomes are frequently observed, ranging from complete neurological recovery to persistent decline. Although numerous clinical and radiological factors have been independently associated with failure to improve, the relative impact of these proposed risk factors remains obscure. In this study, the authors assess the combined role of clinical and radiographic parameters in contributing to failure to attain neurological improvement after surgery.A consecutive series of patients who underwent surgery for DCM between July 2013 and August 2018 at a single institution was identified from a prospectively maintained database. Retrospective chart review was undertaken to record perioperative clinical and radiographic parameters. Failure to improve on the last follow-up evaluation after surgery, defined as a change in modified Japanese Orthopaedic Association (mJOA) score less than 2, was the primary outcome in univariate and multivariate analyses.The authors included 183 patients in the final cohort. In total, 109 (59.6%) patients improved (i.e., responders with ΔmJOA score ≥ 2) after surgery and 74 (40.4%) were nonresponders with ΔmJOA score < 2. Baseline demographic variables and comorbidity rates were similar, whereas baseline Nurick score was the only clinical variable that differed between responders and nonresponders (2.7 vs 3.0, p = 0.02). In contrast, several preoperative radiographic variables differed between the groups, including presence and degree of cervical kyphosis, number of levels with bidirectional cord compression, presence and number of levels with T2-weighted signal change, intramedullary lesion (IML) length, Torg ratio, and both narrowest spinal canal and cord diameter. On multivariate analysis, preoperative degree of kyphosis at C2-7 (OR 1.19, p = 0.004), number of levels with bidirectional compression (OR 1.83, p = 0.003), and IML length (OR 1.14, p < 0.001) demonstrated the highest predictive power for nonresponse (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.818). A risk factor point system that predicted failure of improvement was derived by incorporating these 3 variables.When a large spectrum of both clinical and radiographic variables is considered, the degree of cervical kyphosis, number of levels with bidirectional compression, and IML length are the most predictive of nonresponse after surgery for DCM. Assessment of these radiographic factors can help guide surgical decision-making and more appropriately stratify patients in clinical trials.