船员
航向(导航)
过程(计算)
动态定位
海上安全
计算机科学
马尔可夫链
系统安全
风险分析(工程)
工程类
运输工程
运筹学
海洋工程
航空学
可靠性工程
业务
机器学习
航空航天工程
操作系统
作者
Oleksiy Melnyk,Svitlana Onyshchenko
出处
期刊:Pomorstvo
[University of Rijeka, Faculty of Maritime Studies]
日期:2022-12-23
卷期号:36 (2): 328-337
被引量:7
摘要
Safety analysis of complex technical systems currently operating in the transport sector is an urgent challenge for the global maritime industry, which suffers from a lack of information about the levels of risk and the consequences of their incorrect assessment. Among the requirements for vessel management and operations the importance of having a highly professional crew and up-to-date navigational equipment. Navigational safety is one of the components of the integral concept of “safety” for a seagoing ship. Assessment of integral safety is based on assessments of the individual safety components. In this study, the focus is on “navigational safety”, which is primarily understood as ensuring safe operation of a vessel in specific navigation conditions, ensuring safe control and maneuvering of the vessel, ship position monitoring, heading control, sufficient depth margin under the keel along the route, taking into account its actual draft and subsidence in shallow water, and sea disturbance. In the offered research on the basis of the identified states of navigational safety, the graphic model of process and matrix of transition probabilities in the general form with use of homogeneous Markov model of change of navigational safety of a vessel, with discrete time and presence of absorbing state is formed. The proposed Markov process model can be used to assess vessel navigational safety when establishing possible states of navigational safety with significant probability to assess ship safety and make decisions to ensure safe vessel operation.
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