Trend prediction and evaluation of sustainable harmony development of Xinjiang

Implementing sustainable developmental strategy is the inevitable choice of regional development in Xinjiang.Forecasting the trend of changes of the level of sustainable development in Xinjiang can lay the foundation and provide a basis for the early-warning of regional sustainable development.This article predicts the changes of indicators from 2005 to 2020,and then uses a combination of evaluation method to evaluate the level of sustainable development in Xinjiang,and analyses the dynamic change of the coordination.The results show that:(1) the future level of sustainable economic development in Xinjiang,sustainable social development,sustainable development capacity possesses the synchronized growth trend,and the ecological environment for sustainable development level shows the opposite trend.With implementation of the sustainable developmental strategy in-depth,people's enhanced awareness of environmental protection,sustainable development level of the ecological environment will gradually rise,the trend will show more or less gentle U curve;(2) compared with the end of the 20th century,although in the years 2005-2020,coordination index will slightly decline,but the level of sustainable development in Xinjiang will obviously increase;(3) in future,apart from continuing to improve the economic,social and sustainable development capacity of this three elements level,the whole society should strive to improve the ecological sustainable development level as a key.Only in this way,level of sustainable development in Xinjiang can continuously improve;(4) Xinjiang is a multi-ethnic region,also a region with fragile ecological environment.Achieving sustainable development in Xinjiang can ensure China's resources safety and ecological security and maintain stability and peace in the border areas,which has great political,economic and social significance.Developing recycling economy is a fundamental way to achieve sustainable development.