Fat Distribution Patterns and Future Type 2 Diabetes

Fat accumulation in the liver, pancreas, skeletal muscle, and visceral bed relates to type 2 diabetes (T2D). However, the distribution of fat among these compartments is heterogenous and whether specific distribution patterns indicate high T2D risk is unclear. We therefore investigated fat distribution patterns and their link to future T2D. From 2,168 individuals without diabetes who underwent computed tomography in Japan, this case-cohort study included 658 randomly selected individuals and 146 incident cases of T2D over 6 years of follow-up. Using data-driven analysis (k-means) based on fat content in the liver, pancreas, muscle, and visceral bed, we identified four fat distribution clusters: hepatic steatosis, pancreatic steatosis, trunk myosteatosis, and steatopenia. In comparisons with the steatopenia cluster, the adjusted hazard ratios for incident T2D were 4.02 (95% CI 2.27-7.12) for the hepatic steatosis cluster, 3.38 (1.65-6.91) for the pancreatic steatosis cluster, and 1.95 (1.07-3.54) for the trunk myosteatosis cluster. The clusters were replicated in 319 German individuals without diabetes who underwent MRI and metabolic phenotyping. The distribution of the glucose area under the curve across the four clusters found in Germany was similar to the distribution of T2D risk across the four clusters in Japan. Insulin sensitivity and insulin secretion differed across the four clusters. Thus, we identified patterns of fat distribution with different T2D risks presumably due to differences in insulin sensitivity and insulin secretion.