Notch activation defines immune-suppressive subsets of ccRCCs with unfavorable benefits from immunotherapy over VEGFR/mTOR inhibitors

The evolutionarily conserved Notch pathway, involved in cancer stem cell capacity and cancer immunity, may predict the benefit from immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC). In the TCGA dataset, mRNA expression of Notch pathway genes identified three clusters with different prognoses and molecular characteristics. Based on the differentially expressed Notch pathway genes between clusters, we constructed the Notch-score, correlated with Notch activation, angiogenesis, PI3K-AKT-mTOR activity, and sensitivities to VEGFR/mTOR inhibitors. A high Notch-score was linked with more "resting"/"anti-inflammatory" rather than "activated"/"pro-inflammatory" tumor-infiltrating immune cells, inactivated immune pathways, and scarce any benefits from ICI-based therapies over VEGFR/mTOR inhibitors in the JAVELIN Renal 101 (avelumab plus axitinib vs. sunitinib) and the CheckMate-009/010/025 trials (nivolumab vs. everolimus). For the Notch-activated ccRCCs, ICIs provide limited advantages and might not be strongly recommended, by which the cost-effectiveness of treatments in ccRCCs may be potentially improved.