医学
内科学
心脏病学
心肌梗塞
传统PCI
比例危险模型
临床终点
队列
倾向得分匹配
预测值
急性冠脉综合征
多元分析
冠状动脉造影
试验预测值
回顾性队列研究
价值(数学)
死亡率
队列研究
危险系数
弗雷明翰风险评分
无回流现象
经皮冠状动脉介入治疗
心肌梗死诊断
死亡风险
风险评估
置信区间
多元统计
疾病严重程度
终点
梗塞
作者
Weijie Shi,Zhi-Peng Liu,Yonghuai Wang,Xuechun Bai,Jian Nie,Tianxin DONG,Chunyan Ma,Dalin Jia,Weijie Shi,Zhi-Peng Liu,Yonghuai Wang,Xuechun Bai,Jian Nie,Tianxin DONG,Chunyan Ma,Dalin Jia
摘要
ABSTRACT Background The Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score has proven value in predicting short‐term prognosis in non‐ST‐elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI), but it has only moderate discrimination for long‐term prognosis. The predictive value of the angiographic no‐reflow phenomenon for long‐term outcomes in NSTEMI patients and its incremental contribution to the GRACE score remain unclear. Hypothesis This study aimed to determine: (1) the prognostic value of the angiographic no‐reflow for long‐term mortality in NSTEMI and (2) its additive value over the GRACE risk score. Methods This single‐center cohort study retrospectively recruited consecutive patients with NSTEMI to further determine whether no‐reflow occurred after PCI and conducted follow‐up assessments. The primary endpoint was 3‐year All‐cause mortality. Results A total of 1271 patients were included. No‐reflow occurred in 423 patients (33.3%) and was absent in 848 (66.7%). Deaths were recorded in 114 patients (9.1%). Multivariate Cox regression and three propensity score methods were used to adjust for traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Before PSM, angiographic no‐reflow was associated with increased risks of all‐cause mortality (Hazards Ratio [HR]: 2.52; 95% CI: 1.70–3.74; p < 0.01) and cardiac death (HR: 4.38; 95% CI: 2.92–11.82; p = 0.019). After PSM, similar associations were observed for all‐cause mortality (HR: 2.79; 95% CI: 1.73–7.50; p < 0.001) and cardiac death (HR: 3.03; 95% CI: 1.55–5.95; p = 0.008). When no‐reflow was added to the GRACE score, it conferred significant discrimination and reclassification value for all‐cause mortality (Delta AUC: 0.105; 95% CI: 0.050−0.169; p = 0.005; and net reclassification improvement [NRI] = 0.220) and cardiac death (Delta AUC: 0.098; 95% CI: 0.035−0.163; p = 0.007 and NRI = 0.292). Conclusion The angiographic no‐reflow phenomenon strongly predicts long‐term prognosis after NSTEMI; additionally, the angiographic no‐reflow phenomenon has demonstrated significant discriminatory and reclassification power in the GRACE score.
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