Global behavior of an age-structured epidemic model
基本再生数
应用数学
理论(学习稳定性)
作者
Stavros Busenberg,Mimmo Iannelli,Horst R. Thieme
出处
期刊:Siam Journal on Mathematical Analysis [Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics] 日期:1991-07-01卷期号:22 (4): 1065-1080被引量:100
标识
DOI:10.1137/0522069
摘要
The global behavior of the general $s \to i \to s$ age-structured epidemic model in a population of constant size is obtained. It is shown that there is a sharp threshold which determines the existence and global stability of an endemic state; hence, periodic solutions are ruled out. The threshold is identified as the spectral radius of a positive linear operator. The analysis employs the theory of semigroups and positive operator methods, and is based on the formulation of the problem as an abstract differential equation in a Banach space.