Uncertainty-Calibrated Test-Time Model Adaptation without Forgetting

Test-time adaptation (TTA) seeks to tackle potential distribution shifts between training and testing data by adapting a given model w.r.t. any testing sample. This task is particularly important when the test environment changes frequently. Although some recent attempts have been made to handle this task, we still face two key challenges: 1) prior methods have to perform backpropagation for each test sample, resulting in unbearable optimization costs to many applications; 2) while existing TTA solutions can significantly improve the test performance on out-of-distribution data, they often suffer from severe performance degradation on in-distribution data after TTA (known as catastrophic forgetting). To this end, we have proposed an Efficient Anti-Forgetting Test-Time Adaptation (EATA) method which develops an active sample selection criterion to identify reliable and non-redundant samples for test-time entropy minimization. To alleviate forgetting, EATA introduces a Fisher regularizer estimated from test samples to constrain important model parameters from drastic changes. However, in EATA, the adopted entropy loss consistently assigns higher confidence to predictions even when the samples are underlying uncertain, leading to overconfident predictions that underestimate the data uncertainty. To tackle this, we further propose EATA with Calibration (EATA-C) to separately exploit the reducible model uncertainty and the inherent data uncertainty for calibrated TTA. Specifically, we compare the divergence between predictions from the full network and its sub-networks to measure the reducible model uncertainty, on which we propose a test-time uncertainty reduction strategy with divergence minimization loss to encourage consistent predictions instead of overconfident ones. To further re-calibrate predicting confidence on different samples, we utilize the disagreement among predicted labels as an indicator of the data uncertainty. Based on this, we devise a min-max entropy regularization to selectively increase and decrease predicting confidence for confidence re-calibration. Note that EATA-C and EATA are different on the adaptation objective, while EATA-C still benefits from the active sample selection criterion and anti-forgetting Fisher regularization proposed in EATA. Extensive experiments on image classification and semantic segmentation verify the effectiveness of our proposed methods.