气候变化
风险管理
风险厌恶(心理学)
风险分析(工程)
投资(军事)
投资策略
计算机科学
气候风险
马尔可夫链
经济
精算学
运筹学
期望效用假设
业务
微观经济学
金融经济学
工程类
财务
政治学
生态学
机器学习
利润(经济学)
法学
生物
政治
作者
Ramzi Benkraiem,Youssef El‐Khatib,Jun Fan,Stéphane Goutte,Tony Klein
摘要
Abstract Climate change presents challenges to policy and economic stability, necessitating effective trading strategies to reduce environmental risks. This article addresses gaps in existing studies by using a Markov‐switching model to consider climate risk. Backward stochastic differential equations are used to optimize utility with three hedging strategies based on the concept of risk aversion. Numerical scenarios confirm the model's superiority in incorporating exogenous events, with our risk‐averse strategy outperforming classical approaches. Our strategy outperforms classical strategies by taking a flexible risk trading when investors face risk‐averse behavior due to climate risk events. The findings presented in this article have important implications for the development of more resilient investment portfolios and can contribute to climate policy.
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