Meta-Analysis and Machine Learning Models for Anaerobic Biodegradation Rates of Organic Contaminants in Sediments and Sludge

Anaerobic biodegradation rates (half-lives) of organic chemicals are pivotal for environmental risk assessment and remediation. Traditional experimental evaluation, constrained by prolonged, oxygen-free conditions, struggles to keep pace with emerging contaminants. Data-driven machine learning (ML) models serve as promising complements. However, reported quantitative structure-biodegradation relationships or ML models on anaerobic biodegradation are mostly based on small data sets (<100 records) and neglect experimental conditions, usually achieving compromised predictions. This work aimed to develop ML models for predicting the biodegradation half-lives of organic pollutants in anaerobic environments (i.e., sediment/soil and sludge). Focusing on important features of both chemicals and experimental conditions, we first curated two data sets, one for sediment/soil (SED) and the other for sludge (SLD), covering 978 records for 206 chemicals from the literature, and then conducted a meta-analysis. Next, we built a binary classification (half-life of 30 days as the cutoff) model with an accuracy of 81% and a regression model with