New Product Development: The Performance and Time-to-Market Tradeoff

新产品开发 利润(经济学) 产品扩散 产品(数学) 计算机科学 上市时间 提前期 产业组织 机会之窗 运筹学 微观经济学 业务 数学优化 经济 产品管理 运营管理 营销 数学 操作系统 实时计算 几何学
作者
Morris A. Cohen,Jehoshua Eliashberg,Teck-Hua Ho
出处
期刊:Management Science [Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences]
卷期号:42 (2): 173-186 被引量:432
标识
DOI:10.1287/mnsc.42.2.173
摘要

Reduction of new product development cycle time and improvements in product performance have become strategic objectives for many technology-driven firms. These goals may conflict, however, and firms must explicitly consider the tradeoff between them. In this paper we introduce a multistage model of new product development process which captures this tradeoff explicitly. We show that if product improvements are additive (over stages), it is optimal to allocate maximal time to the most productive development stage. We then indicate how optimal time-to-market and its implied product performance targets vary with exogenous factors such as the size of the potential market, the presence of existing and new products, profit margins, the length of the window of opportunity, the firm's speed of product improvement, and competitor product performance. We show that some new product development metrics employed in practice, such as minimizing break-even time, can be sub-optimal if firms are striving to maximize profits. We also determine the minimal speed of product improvement required for profitably undertaking new product development, and discuss the implications of product replacement which can occur whenever firms introduce successive generations of new products. Finally, we show that an improvement in the speed of product development does not necessarily lead to an earlier time-to-market, but always leads to enhanced products.
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