Global climate forcing of aerosols embodied in international trade

辐射压力 强迫(数学) 温室气体 气溶胶 环境科学 大气科学 硫酸盐气溶胶 气候学 气候模式 云强迫 气候变化 全球变暖 商品和服务 辐射传输 地理 气象学 经济 经济 海洋学 物理 地质学 量子力学
作者
Jintai Lin,Dan Tong,Steven J. Davis,Ruijing Ni,Xiao Tan,Da Pan,Hongyan Zhao,Zifeng Lü,D. G. Streets,Tong Feng,Qiang Zhang,Yingying Yan,Yongyun Hu,Jing Li,Zhu Liu,Xiujie Jiang,Guannan Geng,Kebin He,Yi Huang,Dabo Guan
出处
期刊:Nature Geoscience [Nature Portfolio]
卷期号:9 (10): 790-794 被引量:80
标识
DOI:10.1038/ngeo2798
摘要

International trade separates regions consuming goods and services from regions where goods and related aerosol pollution are produced. Yet the role of trade in aerosol climate forcing attributed to different regions has never been quantified. Here, we contrast the direct radiative forcing of aerosols related to regions’ consumption of goods and services against the forcing due to emissions produced in each region. Aerosols assessed include black carbon, primary organic aerosol, and secondary inorganic aerosols, including sulfate, nitrate and ammonium. We find that global aerosol radiative forcing due to emissions produced in East Asia is much stronger than the forcing related to goods and services ultimately consumed in that region because of its large net export of emissions-intensive goods. The opposite is true for net importers such as Western Europe and North America: global radiative forcing related to consumption is much greater than the forcing due to emissions produced in these regions. Overall, trade is associated with a shift of radiative forcing from net importing to net exporting regions. Compared to greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide, the short atmospheric lifetimes of aerosols cause large localized differences between consumption- and production-related radiative forcing. International efforts to reduce emissions in the exporting countries will help alleviate trade-related climate and health impacts of aerosols while lowering global emissions. International trade links regions of production and consumption. Analyses with a multiregional input–output model based on trade data reveal that much of East Asia’s aerosol radiative forcing is tied to consumption in developed countries.
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