Assessment of six surrogate insulin resistance indexes for predicting cardiometabolic multimorbidity incidence in Chinese middle‐aged and older populations: Insights from the China health and retirement longitudinal study

AIMS: Insulin resistance (IR) is associated with cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM). We aimed to explore the predictive value of six surrogate IR indexes-Chinese visceral adiposity index (CVAI), lipid accumulation product (LAP), triglyceride-glucose (TyG), atherogenic index of plasma (AIP), TyG-body mass index (TyGBMI), and TyG-waist circumference (TyGwaist)-to establish the CMM incidence in Chinese middle-aged and older populations. MATERIAL AND METHODS: To estimate the odds ratio (OR) with a 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for incident CMM using six surrogates, we analysed data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study using multivariate logistic regression models. The nonlinear dose-response correlation was evaluated using restricted cubic spline analysis; predictive performance was assessed using receiver operator characteristic curves. RESULTS: <0.05). The area under the curve for the CVAI (0.691) was significantly superior to that of other indexes (all p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The six IR surrogates were independently associated with CMM incidence. CVAI may be the most appropriate indicator for predicting CMM in middle-aged and older Chinese populations.