气候变化
植被(病理学)
生态系统
土地利用、土地利用的变化和林业
环境科学
土地利用
变化(天文学)
自然地理学
环境变化
环境资源管理
生态学
地理
生物
医学
病理
物理
天体物理学
作者
Yong Xu,Yanbin Lü,Bin Zou,Ming Xu,Yuxi Feng
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.169023
摘要
Global carbon emissions have exacerbated the greenhouse effect, exerting a profound impact on ecosystems worldwide. Gaining an understanding of the fluctuations in vegetation net primary productivity (NPP) is pivotal in the assessment of environmental quality, estimation of carbon source/sink potential, and facilitation of ecological restoration. Employing MODIS and meteorological data, we conducted a comprehensive analysis of NPP evolution in Chinese vegetation ecosystems (VESs), employing Theil–Sen median trend analysis and the Mann–Kendall test. Furthermore, utilizing scenario-based analysis, we quantitatively determined the respective contributions of climate change and land use change to NPP variations across various scales. The overall NPP exhibited a discernible upward trend from 2000 to 2020, with a growth rate of 5.83 gC·m−2·year−1. Forestland ecosystem (FES) displayed the highest rate of increase (9.40 gC·m−2·year−1), followed by cropland ecosystem (CES) (4.00 gC·m−2·year−1) and grassland ecosystem (GES) (3.40 gC·m−2·year−1). Geographically, NPP exhibited a spatial pattern characterized by elevated values in the southeast and diminished values in the northwest. In addition, climate change had elevated 76.39 % of CES NPP, 90.62 % of FES NPP, and 71.78 % of GES NPP. At the national level, climate change accounted for 83.14 % of the NPP changes, while land use change contributed 14.14 %. Notably, climate change emerged as the primary driving force behind NPP variations across all VEGs, with land use change exerting the most pronounced influence on CES. At the grid scale (2 km × 2 km), land use change played a substantial role in all VEGs, contributing 60.01 % in CES, 54.20 % in FES, and 55.61 % in GES of the NPP variations.
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