Normative data for axial elongation in Asian children

To determine the influence of refractive error (RE), age, gender and parental myopia on axial elongation in Chinese children and to develop normative data for this population.This is a retrospective analysis of eight longitudinal studies conducted in China between 2007 and 2017. Data of 4701 participants aged 6-16 years with spherical equivalent from +6 to -6D contributed to one, two or three annualised progression data resulting in a dataset of 11,262 eyes of 26.6%, 14.8% and 58.6% myopes, emmetropes and hyperopes, respectively. Longitudinal data included axial length and cycloplegic spherical equivalent RE. Axial elongation was log-transformed to develop an exponential model with generalised estimating equations including main effects and interactions. Model-based estimates and their confidence intervals (CIs) are reported.Annual axial elongation decreased significantly with increasing age, with the rate of decrease specific to the RE group. Axial elongation in myopes was higher than in emmetropes and hyperopes but these differences reduced with age (0.58, 0.45 and 0.27 mm/year at 6 years and 0.13, 0.06 and 0.05 mm/year at 15 years for myopes, emmetropes and hyperopes, respectively). The rate of elongation in incident myopes was similar to that in myopes at baseline (0.33 vs. 0.34 mm/year at 10.5 years; p = 0.32), while it was significantly lower in non-myopes (0.20 mm/year at 10.5 years, p < 0.001). Axial elongation was greater in females than in males and in those with both parents myopic compared with one or no myopic parent, with larger differences in non-myopes than in myopes (p < 0.01).Axial elongation varied with age, RE, gender and parental myopia. Estimated normative data with CIs could serve as a virtual control group.