A Joint Prediction of the State of Health and Remaining Useful Life of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Gaussian Process Regression and Long Short-Term Memory

To comprehensively evaluate the current and future aging states of lithium-ion batteries, namely their State of Health (SOH) and Remaining Useful Life (RUL), this paper proposes a joint prediction method based on Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. First, health features (HFs) are extracted from partial charging data. Subsequently, these features are fed into the GPR model for SOH estimation, generating SOH predictions. Finally, the estimated SOH values from the initial cycle to the prediction start point (SP) are input into the LSTM network in order to predict the future SOH trajectory, identify the End of Life (EOL), and infer the RUL. Validation on the Oxford Battery Degradation Dataset demonstrates that this method achieves high accuracy in both SOH estimation and RUL prediction. Furthermore, the proposed approach can directly utilize one or more health features without requiring dimensionality reduction or feature fusion. It also enables RUL prediction at the early stages of a battery’s lifecycle, providing an efficient and reliable solution for battery health management. However, this study is based on data from small-capacity batteries and does not yet encompass applications in large-capacity or high-temperature scenarios. Future work will focus on expanding the data scope and validating the model’s performance in real-world systems, driving its application in practical engineering scenarios.