Research on the Dynamics of the New Energy Vehicle Market Based on System Dynamics and ABM Modeling

With rapid technological advancements, the new energy vehicle market has become pivotal in sustainable transport. Our study utilizes ABM, time series analysis, and system dynamics to analyze market growth. After analyzing consumer behavior, economic conditions, costs, infrastructure, and policies, we identified six key drivers: satisfaction, subsidies, income, charging facilities, competition, and pricing. Simulations show subsidy adjustments, tax incentives, and charging network expansion accelerate expansion. Challenges include market saturation and policy support decline. Beijing and Shanghai's growth relates to regional economy, prosperity, and tech adoption. Shandong, Sichuan, and Yunnan's decline reflects weak demand and diminishing subsidies. The study offers positioning, innovation, and cost control strategies for enterprises and suggestions for policymakers to promote sustainable development, emphasizing technology, market diversification, product optimization, and brand building.