Physical–cyber–human framework‐based resilience evaluation toward urban power system: Case study from China

北京 弹性(材料科学) 电力系统 计算机科学 风险分析(工程) 可靠性工程 功率(物理) 中国 工程类 地理 业务 量子力学 热力学 物理 考古
作者
Fengjuan Wang,Jinyue Yan,Jiuping Xu,Zhouxingyu Yan,Dan Chen
出处
期刊:Risk Analysis [Wiley]
卷期号:43 (4): 800-819 被引量:5
标识
DOI:10.1111/risa.13941
摘要

Abstract Because the increased frequency, intensity, and duration of extreme weather events have significantly challenged power systems, there has been an increased interest in resilient power systems. This article establishes a multicriteria resilience evaluation framework for urban power systems from a physical–cyber–human system perspective, in which the two principal elements responsible for power system function degradation are described, the three major domains comprising urban power systems are explained, four core capacities that positively contribute to power system resilience are proposed, and 15 (11 objective and four subjective) power system resilience evaluation indicators are identified. Fuzzy hesitant judgment and a Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) aggregation method are employed to minimize the expert divergence and maximize the group consensus. A validation method is designed and a comparison with commonly applied performance‐based and attributes‐based evaluation methods is conducted. The applicability of the evaluation framework is verified using data from four Chinese municipalities: Shanghai, Beijing, Chongqing, and Tianjin. It was found that Shanghai's resilience was the best, and Chongqing's physical resistance disadvantages would result in the greatest difficulties in coping with extreme event disturbances. Physical, cyber, and human domain resilience enhancement strategies are given for different cities separately. This study provides a practical tool to evaluate, compare, and enhance power system resilience for governments and public utilities.
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