出版
社会联系
多元统计
计量经济学
商业周期
区域科学
年增长率%
计算机科学
经济
宏观经济学
地理
政治学
机器学习
农业经济学
法学
心理治疗师
心理学
作者
Gary Koop,Stuart McIntyre,James Mitchell,Aubrey Poon
摘要
Summary Output growth estimates for regions of the UK are currently published at an annual frequency only, released with a long delay, and offer limited historical coverage. To improve the regional database this paper develops a mixed‐frequency multivariate model and uses it to produce consistent estimates of quarterly regional output growth dating back to 1970. We describe how these estimates are updated and evaluated on an ongoing, quarterly basis to publish online (at www.escoe.ac.uk/regionalnowcasting ) more timely regional growth estimates. We illustrate how the new quarterly data can contribute to our historical understanding of business cycle dynamics and connectedness between regions.
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