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A new clinical score for the prognosis of status epilepticus in adults

医学 置信区间 逻辑回归 接收机工作特性 癫痫持续状态 改良兰金量表 内科学 癫痫 缺血性中风 缺血 精神科
作者
Montserrat González‐Cuevas,Estevo Santamarina,Manuel Toledo,Manuel Quintana,J. Sala,M. Sueiras,Lorena Guzmán,Javier Salas‐Puig
出处
期刊:European Journal of Neurology [Wiley]
卷期号:23 (10): 1534-1540 被引量:81
标识
DOI:10.1111/ene.13073
摘要

The severity of status epilepticus (SE) has an important impact in clinical outcomes. The Status Epilepticus Severity Score (STESS) is a score for predicting mortality in SE at admission. The baseline modified Rankin Scale (mRS) might be a prognostic factor for assessing the short-tem outcomes of SE. Therefore, our aim was to evaluate the effectiveness of mRS and whether its addition to the STESS improves the prediction of mortality.Consecutive patients with SE and aged >16 years were recruited during 3 years. Receiver operating characteristic curves and a logistic regression model were developed to estimate the scores of the new score, designated as modified STESS (mSTESS), and it was subsequently compared with the STESS.In all, 136 patients were included. Mean age was 62.01 ± 17.62 (19-95) years, and 54% were male. The capacity of the STESS to predict mortality was 74.3% (95% confidence interval 63.8%-81.8%), whilst the capacity of the mRS to predict mortality was 65.2% (95% confidence interval 54.2%-76.2%). The logistic regression model and receiver operating characteristic curves enabled the classification of mRS as follows: 0, mRS = 0; 1, mRS = 1-3; and 2, mRS > 3. These values, when added to the other items of the STESS, resulted in the mSTESS with scores between 0 and 8 points. The capacity of the mSTESS to predict mortality was 80.1%. An mSTESS > 4 established an overall accuracy of 81.8% for predicting mortality, which was considerably higher than the overall accuracy of STESS ≥ 3 (59.6%).The baseline mRS was associated with high mortality risk. It is proposed to use mSTESS to improve the prediction of mortality risk in SE.
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