Minimax Optimality in Contextual Dynamic Pricing with General Valuation Models

极小极大 后悔 数学优化 估价(财务) 上下界 计算机科学 有界函数 数学 对数 计量经济学 李普希茨连续性 可见的 独立同分布随机变量 估计员 数理经济学 航程(航空) 应用数学 功能(生物学) 启发式 概率分布 匹配(统计) 线性模型 随机变量 理查森推断
作者
Xueping Gong,Wei You,Jiheng Zhang
出处
期刊:Operations Research [Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences]
卷期号:74 (2): 879-897
标识
DOI:10.1287/opre.2025.1779
摘要

We study contextual dynamic pricing, where a decision maker posts personalized prices based on observable contexts and receives binary purchase feedback indicating whether the customer’s valuation exceeds the price. Each valuation is modeled as an unknown latent function of the context, corrupted by independent and identically distributed market noise from an unknown distribution. Relying only on Lipschitz continuity of the noise distribution and bounded valuations, we propose a minimax-optimal algorithm. To accommodate the unknown distribution, our method discretizes the relevant noise range to form a finite set of candidate prices, then applies layered data partitioning to obtain confidence bounds substantially tighter than those derived via the elliptical potential lemma. A key advantage is that estimation bias in the valuation function cancels when comparing upper confidence bounds, eliminating the need to know the Lipschitz constant. The framework extends beyond linear models to general function classes through offline regression oracles. Our regret analysis depends solely on the oracle’s estimation error, typically governed by the statistical complexity of the class. These techniques yield a regret upper bound matching the minimax lower bound up to logarithmic factors. Furthermore, we refine these guarantees under additional structures—for example, linear valuation models, second-order smoothness, sparsity, and known noise distribution or observable valuations—and compare our bounds and assumptions with prior dynamic-pricing methods. Finally, numerical experiments corroborate the theory and show clear improvements over benchmark methods. Funding: X. Gong’s research is generously supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China [Grant 72501238]. W. You’s research is generously supported by the Hong Kong Research Grants Council [Grant GRF 16212823]. J. Zhang’s research is generously supported by the Hong Kong Research Grants Council [Theme-based Research Project T32-615/24-R]. Supplemental Material: All supplemental materials, including the code, data, and files required to reproduce the results are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2025.1779 .
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