Specifying the hydrogeological parameters range for a groundwater flow model in El-Qaa Plain aquifer, Sinai, Egypt

Abstract Hydrogeological parameters are very uncertain to specify in the groundwater flow models. Hence, it is important to specify a range for these parameters to be further utilized by the groundwater model users. In El-Qaa Plain, previous researchers have determined the hydrogeological parameters such as transmissivity, hydraulic conductivity, and mean annual recharge rate using geophysical methods, pumping tests, hydrological models, and groundwater flow models. However, they are also limited to specific locations and do not spatially distribute. In this paper, an effort has been accomplished to specify a specific range for the aquifer hydrogeological parameters using inverse groundwater modeling taking into account the spatial heterogeneity. These ranges could be taken into consideration during modeling groundwater flow. Hence, a finite-difference groundwater flow model has been applied using the ModFLOW model. Regularized pilot points method (RPPM) has been chosen as an inverse modeling technique to specify the accurate values of the aquifer parameters. Model-independent parameter estimation and uncertainty analysis (PEST) has been utilized to estimate the parameters. The results show that the geometric mean of the hydraulic conductivity in the study area ranges from proximity 1 to 2 m/day. Additionally, the geometric mean of the transmissivity ranges from nearly 200 to 500 m2/day. A relationship between the mean annual recharge rate and hydrogeological parameters has been determined. Besides, maps have been generated showing the spatial heterogeneity of the hydraulic conductivity. These maps could be further utilized by groundwater flow modelers to predict the potential of groundwater flow and pollution in the future.