High Blood Eosinophil Count Is a Risk Factor for Future Asthma Exacerbations in Adult Persistent Asthma

Exacerbation-associated uncontrolled asthma represents a major public health problem. The relationship of elevated blood eosinophils to this process needs study.To determine whether a high blood eosinophil count is a risk factor for future asthma exacerbations in adult persistent asthma.By using electronic pharmacy and health care data from Kaiser Permanente Southern California, 2392 patients, ages 18 to 64 years, were identified who met the Health Effectiveness Data and Information Set 2-year criteria for persistent asthma, did not manifest chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and other major illnesses, and had a blood eosinophil determination in 2010. Exacerbations (primary outcome) were defined as asthma outpatient visits that required systemic corticosteroid dispensing within ±7 days or asthma emergency department visits or hospitalizations. A period of ≥8 days defined a new exacerbation. Multivariate modelling used negative binomial and Poisson regression to examine the association between a blood eosinophil count determined in 2010 and risk of exacerbations, and ≥7 short-acting β2-agonist (SABA) canisters dispensed (secondary outcome) in 2011 by adjusting for demographics, comorbidities, and asthma burden.The rate of asthma exacerbations in 2011 was 0.41 events per person year (95% CI, 0.37-0.45). Eosinophil count ≥400/mm(3) in 2010 was a risk factor for asthma exacerbations in 2011 (adjusted rate ratio 1.31 [95% CI, 1.07-1.60]; P = .009) and ≥7 SABA dispensed (adjusted risk ratio 1.17 [95% CI, 1.03-1.1.33]; P = .015).A high blood eosinophil count is a risk factor for increased future asthma exacerbations and excessive short-acting β2-agonist use after adjustment of potential confounders in adults with persistent asthma, which suggests a higher disease burden in patients with asthma and with high blood eosinophil counts.