Triglyceride–glucose index in the development of heart failure and left ventricular dysfunction: analysis of the ARIC study

We aimed to investigate whether the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, an easy-calculated and reliable surrogate of insulin resistance, was associated with the development of heart failure (HF) and left ventricular (LV) dysfunction.A total of 12 374 participants (mean age: 54.1 ± 5.7 years, male: 44.7%) free of history of HF and coronary heart disease at baseline from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study were included. The TyG index was calculated as ln[fasting triglyceride (mg/dL) × fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2]. The long-term TyG index was calculated as the updated cumulative average TyG index using all available TyG index from baseline to the events of HF or the end of follow-up. We evaluated the associations of both the baseline and the long-term TyG index with incident HF using Cox regression analysis. We also analysed the effect of the TyG index on LV structure and function among 4889 participants with echocardiographic data using multivariable linear regression analysis. There were 1958 incident HF cases over a median follow-up of 22.5 years. After adjusting for potential confounders, 1-SD (0.60) increase in the baseline TyG index was associated with a 15% higher risk of HF development [hazard ratio (HR): 1.15, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.10-1.21]. Compared with participants in the lowest quartile of the baseline TyG index, those in the highest quartile had a greater risk of incident HF [HR (95% CI): 1.25 (1.08-1.45)]. In terms of LV structure and function, a greater baseline TyG index was associated with adverse LV remodelling and LV dysfunction. Similar results were found for the long-term TyG index.In a community-based cohort, we found that a greater TyG index was significantly associated with a higher risk of incident HF and impaired LV structure and function.