ChatGPT vs. Experts: Can GenAI Develop High-Quality Organizational and Policy Objectives?

决策分析 头脑风暴 计算机科学 管理科学 决策工程 决策支持系统 商业决策图 证据推理法 知识管理 决策论 生成语法 R型铸件 人工智能 决策规则 决策树 最优决策 风险分析(工程) 决策者 影响图 优势和劣势 最佳实践 多准则决策分析 情报分析 主题专家 智能决策支持系统 政策分析 专家启发
作者
Jay Simon,Johannes Ulrich Siebert
出处
期刊:Decision Analysis [Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences]
标识
DOI:10.1287/deca.2025.0387
摘要

This paper explores the efficacy of generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) for value-focused thinking, specifically the ability to generate high-quality sets of objectives for organizational or policy decisions. Overall, we find that most of the GenAI objectives are viable individually, but the sets as a whole are highly flawed. They often include nonessential considerations, omitting important ones. In addition, they are redundant and nondecomposable, often because of a tendency to include means objectives even when explicitly instructed not to. However, the sets of objectives can be improved by implementing best practices in prompting and with decision analysis (DA) expertise. The results provide further evidence of the importance of a human in the loop; in this case, GenAI tools are helpful for brainstorming objectives, but an expert with a background in decision analysis is needed before the results are used to support decision making. To facilitate this, a four-step approach incorporating the relative strengths of both GenAI and decision analysts is presented and demonstrated. History: This paper has been accepted for the Decision Analysis Special Issue on the Implications of Advances in Artificial Intelligence for Decision Analysis. Supplemental Material: The online appendix is available at https://doi.org/10.1287/deca.2025.0387 .

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