An Improved Prevention Strategy Based on Fault Probability Detection for Commutation Failure in Line-Commutated Converter-Based High-Voltage Direct Current Transmission Systems

Commutation failure (CF) is one of the most prevalent events in line-commutated converter-based high-voltage direct current (LCC–HVDC) systems. The frequent occurrence of CF poses a significant threat to the safe and stable operation of power grids. The commutation failure prevention control (CFPREV) is the main method to prevent the initial CF, which relies on the detection of a drop in AC voltage. However, its slow fault detection hinders the rapid response of post-fault control, thereby affecting the effectiveness of CF suppression. Therefore, this paper proposes a fast fault detection method based on Bayesian theory. This algorithm can calculate the conditional probability of each variable in a given dataset, effectively mitigating the impact of noise and errors in data to yield precise and dependable results. By processing the collected continuous data and calculating the probability of the existence of a fault point, it determines whether a fault occurs. Based on this method, an improved prevention strategy is proposed, which can effectively enhance the CF resilience of LCC–HVDC systems under AC faults. Finally, using the power systems computer-aided design (PSCAD) platform, the accuracy of the fault probability detection algorithm was verified based on actual engineering data. The effectiveness of the proposed strategy was further validated under three typical fault scenarios, leading to significant improvements: a 64.12% reduction in detection time for three-phase grounding faults, a 69.88% decrease for single line-to-ground faults, and a 36.84% improvement in phase-to-phase fault detection. Additionally, the overall performance of the strategy was thoroughly assessed through extensive simulations covering various fault cases within a selected range of typical faults. The simulations demonstrated the superiority of the proposed strategy in CF mitigation, with a significant reduction in incidents from 89 to 34 out of 150 tested scenarios. This highlights the robustness and reliability of the proposed strategy.