Effect of Initial eGFR and Albuminuria Changes on Clinical Outcomes in People With Diabetes Receiving SGLT2 Inhibitors

The relationship between initial changes in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urine albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR), and their independent association with clinical outcomes in type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients receiving sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2is), remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the association between initial changes in eGFR and UACR with consequent cardiovascular and kidney outcomes in an Asian population with T2D following SGLT2i treatment in a real-world setting. Using a large multicenter medical database in Taiwan, we analyzed 8222 T2D patients with baseline and 3-month follow-up eGFR and UACR measurements, receiving SGLT2is between June 1, 2016, and December 31, 2021. We assessed risks of major adverse renal events (MARE), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), hospitalization for heart failure (HHF), and all-cause mortality using a Cox proportional hazards model. After 3 months of SGLT2i treatment, patients were categorized based on early changes in eGFR (no decline, 0%-10% decline, > 10% decline) and UACR (no reduction, 0%-30% reduction, > 30% reduction). Among those with no initial eGFR decline (40.9%), 19.8% had no initial UACR reduction, 8.4% had 0% to 30% reduction, and 12.7% had greater than 30% reduction. For those with greater than 10% initial eGFR decline (21.5%), 6.5% had no UACR reduction, 4.3% had 0% to 30% reduction, and 10.7% had greater than 30% reduction. Patients with greater than 10% initial eGFR decline but no UACR reduction showed higher risks of MARE (adjusted HR [aHR]: 2.34; 95% CI, 1.32-4.15), MACE (aHR: 1.83; 95% CI, 1.01-3.29), and HHF/cardiovascular death (aHR: 1.93; 95% CI, 1.05-3.55) compared to those with modest early eGFR decline and UACR reduction. T2D patients experiencing profound early eGFR decline without concordant UACR reduction while on SGLT2is represent a high-risk subgroup with worse clinical outcomes. These findings suggest the need for closer monitoring and potentially more aggressive therapeutic strategies for this patient population.