博弈论
风险分析(工程)
风险管理
计算机科学
管理科学
业务
微观经济学
经济
财务
作者
Ali Shehadeh,Odey Alshboul
出处
期刊:Journal of the Construction Division and Management
[American Society of Civil Engineers]
日期:2025-03-14
卷期号:151 (5)
被引量:22
标识
DOI:10.1061/jcemd4.coeng-15109
摘要
This study leverages game theory to address three interrelated challenges in construction management: cost allocation for blockchain technology, risk assessment in production planning, and coordination among stakeholders under conditions of uncertainty. Utilizing cooperative game theory and the Shapley value model, the research identifies a methodologically sound approach for the economically rational allocation of development and operational costs in blockchain-based management systems. In a novel application, stochastic frontier analysis and the weighted Shapley value model predict cost savings of up to 15% under cooperative scenarios compared to noncooperative approaches. For risk evaluation in multiperiod production planning, integrating the average value at risk with the Shapley value demonstrates a 20% increase in risk mitigation efficiency over traditional methods, addressing correlated and uncertain demands without strict probability distributions. A game-theoretic model developed for coordinating a manufacturer with multiple suppliers optimizes production, inventory, and pricing, reducing costs by 18% and inventory misalignments by 25% under demand uncertainty and asymmetric information. These findings underscore the practical utility of game-theoretic models in enhancing decision-making processes in the evolving construction management landscape, providing theoretical insights and empirical validations for cost-efficient, resilient, and effectively coordinated construction management practices.
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