Prediction of Regional Logistics Heat and Coupling Development between Regional Logistics and Economic Systems

计算机科学 联轴节(管道) 马尔可夫链 索引(排版) 学位(音乐) 人工神经网络 开发(拓扑) 反向传播 灰色关联分析 运筹学 人工智能 机器学习 数学 统计 材料科学 物理 数学分析 万维网 冶金 声学
作者
Guojun Yin,Jianhui Peng
出处
期刊:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society [Hindawi Publishing Corporation]
卷期号:2021: 1-9 被引量:5
标识
DOI:10.1155/2021/8170234
摘要

The research on logistics heat facilitates the understanding of the drivers of regional logistics development. However, many scholars ignore the difference between prediction methods in terms of attributes and focal points of data analysis during the selection of regional logistics heat prediction model. Regional logistics interacts with regional economy. However, the studies on the coupling development between the two systems fail to make a detailed analysis in the light of their actual situation. Therefore, the evaluation of the coordination degree is often biased. To solve the problem, this paper probes into the prediction of regional logistics heat and the coupling development between regional logistics and economic systems. Firstly, an index system was established to measure the level of coupling development between the two systems, and a grey relational analysis was performed on the indices, leading to the evaluation results on coordination degree. Next, a composite model of GM (1, 1) and backpropagation (BP) neural network was proposed, and the deviation interval of the composite predictions was predicted based on Markov chain prediction model. The proposed algorithm proved effective through experiments.

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