A sequential Bayesian changepoint detection procedure for aberrant behaviours in computerized testing

计算机科学 贝叶斯概率 可靠性(半导体) 推论 贝叶斯推理 序贯分析 人工智能 序列(生物学) 统计假设检验 贝叶斯定理 机器学习 数据挖掘 模式识别(心理学) 统计 数学 功率(物理) 物理 量子力学 生物 遗传学
作者
Joan Lu,Chun Wang,Jiwei Zhang,Xue Wang
出处
期刊:British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology [Wiley]
被引量:1
标识
DOI:10.1111/bmsp.12305
摘要

Changepoints are abrupt variations in a sequence of data in statistical inference. In educational and psychological assessments, it is essential to properly differentiate examinees' aberrant behaviours from solution behaviour to ensure test reliability and validity. In this paper, we propose a sequential Bayesian changepoint detection algorithm to monitor the locations of changepoints for response times in real time and, subsequently, further identify types of aberrant behaviours in conjunction with response patterns. Two simulation studies were conducted to investigate the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed detection procedure in terms of identifying one or multiple changepoints at different locations. In addition to manipulating the number and locations of changepoints, two types of aberrant behaviours were also considered: rapid guessing behaviour and cheating behaviour. Simulation results indicate that ability estimates could be improved after removing responses from aberrant behaviours identified by our approach. Two empirical examples were analysed to illustrate the application of the proposed sequential Bayesian changepoint detection procedure.
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