The Nonprofit Starvation Cycle: Does Overhead Spending Really Impact Program Outcomes?

The nonprofit starvation cycle raises a fundamental question about the impact of overhead spending on nonprofit program outcomes and organizational effectiveness. We test this relationship using data on the U.S. nonprofit arts and cultural subsector from 2008 to 2018. Contrary to the conventional wisdom that lower overhead is better, the results of different model specifications consistently show an optimal level of overhead captured by an inverted U-shaped relationship between the overhead cost ratio and program outcomes. Increased spending on overhead can improve program outcomes up to the optimal point. Beyond this point, further spending on overhead can yield negative returns. The study contributes to correcting the unrealistic expectations surrounding overhead costs and argues for investing more in building sustainable nonprofit capacity. We discuss the implications of our findings for nonprofit charity monitors, donors, scholars, and other stakeholders concerned about nonprofit accountability and effectiveness.