大流行
长寿
粮食安全
疾病
2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)
政治学
地理
发展经济学
历史
生物
医学
经济
生态学
农业
传染病(医学专业)
遗传学
病理
标识
DOI:10.1073/pnas.2115792118
摘要
Humans become increasingly fragile as they age. We show that something similar may happen to states, although for states, the risk of termination levels off as they grow older, allowing some to persist for millennia. Proximate causes of their ...How states and great powers rise and fall is an intriguing enigma of human history. Are there any patterns? Do polities become more vulnerable over time as they age? We analyze longevity in hundreds of premodern states using survival analysis to help ...
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