Development of uncertainty-aware equation-of-state models: Application to copper

Sophisticated hydrodynamic codes are commonly used to understand and predict events relevant to natural and applied sciences. The degree to which these simulations reflect reality, however, is dependent on how well we understand the materials and underlying physics involved. These research communities need material models that communicate the uncertainty in the physical properties, which at their basest form comes from the uncertainty in the underlying experimental measurements. We have constructed a new framework for using both experimental measurements and the associated experimental uncertainties to build equation-of-state models that reflect not only current best measurements but also the accuracy of those measurements. This method had been used to construct an ensemble of equation-of-state models for copper that communicates the experimental uncertainties in the data through the equation-of-state model, which is available for application in any simulation metric of interest.