Exploring Information Sharing in Supply Chains 2025: A Scenario Planning Study

方案规划 期货合约 供应链 信息共享 未来研究 知识管理 过程管理 准备 计算机科学 情景分析 风险分析(工程) 业务 营销 经济 人工智能 管理 万维网 财务
作者
Karolin Grönvall,Daniel Hellström
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摘要

Purpose The purpose of this study is to develop scenarios exploring information sharing in supply chains in 2025. Design/methodology/approach An intuitive-logic scenario planning technique was used to create images of plausible futures for information sharing in supply chains. A salient feature of this qualitative study is its inductive reasoning where empirical data was collected from semi-structured interviews with thirteen selected respondents. Findings The analysis resulted in identifying three unpredictable trends influencing information sharing, i.e. increased co-operation beyond supply chains, continued economic growth of Asia, and decreased social contact and reluctance to organisational change. These trends are used in three scenario crosses, each generating four scenarios. To support these 12 scenarios a base scenario is developed describing information sharing conditions in 2025 from that vantage point. Research limitations/implications The applicability of the developed scenarios need to be tested in organisations by creating visions of desired futures, identifying development areas and strategies, and taking actions on developed plans. Practical implications For practitioners this study can be used as a means for understanding plausible futures and coming events. Moreover, it provides a foundation for decision support and preparedness for an uncertain future, thus providing insights for risk management and long-term planning and strategy building. Original/value This study develops scenarios offering insights into plausible futures, events, and developments that can impact information sharing in supply chains in 2025. (Less)

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