步伐
预警系统
脆弱性
复杂系统
气候变化
计算机科学
贫穷
关键基础设施
生态系统
级联故障
系统性风险
业务
地理
计算机安全
生态学
政治学
物理
金融危机
经济
生物
电信
人工智能
热力学
宏观经济学
电力系统
功率(物理)
法学
量子力学
大地测量学
作者
Marten Scheffer,Stephen R. Carpenter,Timothy M. Lenton,Jordi Bascompte,William A. Brock,Vasilis Dakos,Johan van de Koppel,Ingrid A. van de Leemput,Simon A. Levin,Egbert H. van Nes,Mercedes Pascual,John Vandermeer
出处
期刊:Science
[American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)]
日期:2012-10-19
卷期号:338 (6105): 344-348
被引量:1569
标识
DOI:10.1126/science.1225244
摘要
All Change Research on early warning signals for critical transitions in complex systems such as ecosystems, climate, and global finance systems recently has been gathering pace. At the same time, studies on complex networks are starting to reveal which architecture may cause systems to be vulnerable to systemic collapse. Scheffer et al. (p. 344 ) review how previously isolated lines of work can be connected, conclude that many critical transitions (such as escape from the poverty trap) can have positive outcomes, and highlight how the new approaches to sensing fragility can help to detect both risks and opportunities for desired change.
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