协整
地缘政治学
经济
分位数回归
分位数
面板数据
单位根
计量经济学
金融危机
宏观经济学
政治学
政治
法学
作者
Jialin Zhang,Shaodong Shi
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.103799
摘要
There has been a worldwide increase in geopolitical risk and the need for a stable financial system. The effects of these two factors are felt in the economy and the natural world alike. Yet there is a lack of literature that fully explores how geopolitical risk affects financial development. In light of this, this paper evaluates the impact of geopolitical risk on financial development for BRICS economies from 1990 to 2022, together with other major control factors, such as natural resources, energy use, and research and development expenditures. To examine the situation of BRICS countries, we use panel data and one of the most appropriate econometric approaches for long run connection, like moment quantile regression to observe adjustment with time between the variables, which offers empirical evidence. The following are the key findings from the models. As a preliminary step, cross-section dependence tests indicated that the slopes are not constant throughout the distribution and that there is, in fact, variable dependence. Next, the various panel unit root test that is most appropriate is used. The cointegration of variables over the long run was then assessed using the Kao and Johansen Fisher cointegration tests. The moment's quantile regression method has been employed to observe the long-term effect of the variables of interest. The results show that geopolitical risk decreases financial development in BRICS economies. Additionally, spending on R&D and energy consumption supports financial development, but over-exploiting natural resources retards it in the BRICS countries. From a policy perspective, policymakers and academics should focus on understanding how geopolitical risk impacts grow nationally and worldwide and how to handle geopolitical actions to promote a positive, sustainable environment.
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