工程类
法律工程学
根本原因
贝叶斯网络
消防安全
风险分析(工程)
计算机科学
可靠性工程
人工智能
土木工程
业务
作者
Laihao Ma,Xiaoxue Ma,Pengfei Xing,Fanyong Yu
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.jlp.2021.104675
摘要
Abstract Fire and explosion accidents are the most important crises in the lab at colleges and universities, and human factors (HFs) are widely regarded as the highly contributing factors to the occurrence of lab accidents. Therefore, it is necessary to use efficient and reliable methods to identify and monitor the key HFs that cause and affect lab fire and explosion accidents. In this paper, to identify the most critical and highly contributing HFs exposed in the lab fire and explosion accidents, a hybrid method integrating Human Factors Analysis and Classification System (HFACS), Fuzzy set theory (FST), and Bayesian network (BN) is applied, which can compensate for the static nature of conventional methods in HFs analysis and its inability to deal with uncertainty. The hybrid model was tested on 39 lab fire and explosion accidents from 2008 to 2020 in China and the United States, and the sensitivity analysis was also conducted to recognize the top 10 most critical root events associated with HFs leading to lab fire and explosion accidents. The results demonstrated that organizational influences are the leading contributors to the top 10 most highly contributing root events for lab accidents.
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