置信区间
优势比
逻辑回归
寒冷的天气
可能性
条件logistic回归
表观温度
人口学
医学
气象学
地理
内科学
社会学
相对湿度
作者
Niilo Ryti,Jouni Nurmi,Ari Salo,Harri Antikainen,Markku Kuisma,Jouni J. K. Jaakkola
出处
期刊:Työväentutkimus
日期:2022-01-01
被引量:8
标识
DOI:10.2105/ajph.2021.306549
摘要
Objectives. To test the a priori hypothesis that out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is associated with cold weather during all seasons, not only during the winter.
\nMethods. We applied a case–crossover design to all cases of nontraumatic OHCA in Helsinki, Finland, over 22 years: 1997 to 2018. We statistically defined cold weather for each case and season, and applied conditional logistic regression with 2 complementary models a priori according to the season of death.
\nResults. There was an association between cold weather and OHCA during all seasons, not only during the winter. Each additional cold day increased the odds of OHCA by 7% (95% confidence interval [CI] 5 4%, 10%), with similar strength of association during the autumn (6%; 95% CI 5 0%, 12%), winter (6%; 95% CI 5 1%, 12%), spring (8%; 95% CI 5 2%, 14%), and summer (7%; 95% CI 5 0%, 15%).
\nConclusions. Cold weather, defined according to season, increased the odds of OHCA during all seasons in similar quantity.
\nPublic Health Implications. Early warning systems and cold weather plans focus implicitly on the winter season. This may lead to incomplete measures in reducing excess mortality related to cold weather.
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