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Clinical characteristics and risk factors associated with ICU-acquired infections in sepsis: A retrospective cohort study

医学 SAPS II型 重症监护室 败血症 沙发评分 全身炎症反应综合征 阿帕奇II 内科学 机械通风 中心静脉导管 重症监护医学 逻辑回归 降钙素原 菌血症 回顾性队列研究 列线图 重症监护 导管 外科 抗生素 微生物学 生物
作者
Yan-Ling He,Jiqian Xu,Xiaopu Shang,Xiangzhi Fang,Chenggang Gao,Deyi Sun,Yao Lu,Ting Zhou,Shangwen Pan,Xiaojing Zou,Huaqing Shu,Xiaobo Yang,You Shang
出处
期刊:Frontiers in Cellular and Infection Microbiology [Frontiers Media SA]
卷期号:12 被引量:5
标识
DOI:10.3389/fcimb.2022.962470
摘要

Intensive care unit (ICU)-acquired infection is a common cause of poor prognosis of sepsis in the ICU. However, sepsis-associated ICU-acquired infections have not been fully characterized. The study aims to assess the risk factors and develop a model that predicts the risk of ICU-acquired infections in patients with sepsis. Methods We retrieved data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) IV database. Patients were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts at a 7:3 ratio. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to identify independent risk factors that could predict ICU-acquired infection. We also assessed its discrimination and calibration abilities and compared them with classical score systems. Results Of 16,808 included septic patients, 2,871 (17.1%) developed ICU-acquired infection. These patients with ICU-acquired infection had a 17.7% ICU mortality and 31.8% in-hospital mortality and showed a continued rise in mortality from 28 to 100 days after ICU admission. The classical Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome Score (SIRS), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), Oxford Acute Severity of Illness Score (OASIS), Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS II), Logistic Organ Dysfunction Score (LODS), Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), and Acute Physiology Score III (APS III) scores were associated with ICU-acquired infection, and cerebrovascular insufficiency, Gram-negative bacteria, surgical ICU, tracheostomy, central venous catheter, urinary catheter, mechanical ventilation, red blood cell (RBC) transfusion, LODS score and anticoagulant therapy were independent predictors of developing ICU-acquired infection in septic patients. The nomogram on the basis of these independent predictors showed good calibration and discrimination in both the derivation (AUROC = 0.737; 95% CI, 0.725–0.749) and validation (AUROC = 0.751; 95% CI, 0.734–0.769) populations and was superior to that of SIRS, SOFA, OASIS, SAPS II, LODS, CCI, and APS III models. Conclusions ICU-acquired infections increase the likelihood of septic mortality. The individualized prognostic model on the basis of the nomogram could accurately predict ICU-acquired infection and optimize management or tailored therapy.
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