季节性
泰加语
地中海气候
植被(病理学)
北方的
环境科学
气候变化
干燥
地理
气候学
扰动(地质)
生态学
句号(音乐)
自然地理学
牧场
前因(行为心理学)
生态系统
火情
植被类型
落叶松
全球变暖
滞后
作者
Fanglu Fan,Chenliang Tao,Yu Zhang,Drew Shindell,Hongliang Zhang
摘要
Abstract Climate change alters the frequency and intensity of wildfires, but its impact on the seasonal patterns of wildfires remains underexplored. Here, we quantify historical changes in wildfire seasonality across different ecoregions in North America and assess how climate change may affect these seasonal patterns. Our study finds that boreal and taiga forests have experienced a clear advance in seasonal wildfire activity, whereas Mediterranean and desert regions show delayed and extended late‐season burning. Prairie and humid forest regions exhibit comparatively muted change. Attribution analysis shows that atmospheric dryness is the dominant control, while antecedent temperature, precipitation, and soil moisture indirectly shape wildfire risk through vegetation and fuel continuity at different lag times. These findings provide a basis for interpreting future region‐specific changes in wildfire seasonality and emphasize the need for region‐specific assessments of future wildfire activity.
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