反事实思维
匹配(统计)
休克(循环)
生产(经济)
质量(理念)
土耳其
升级
经济
需求冲击
晋升(国际象棋)
工资
业务
产业组织
货币经济学
劳动经济学
微观经济学
计算机科学
医学
哲学
统计
语言学
数学
认识论
政治
法学
政治学
内科学
操作系统
作者
Banu Demir,Ana Cecília Fieler,Daniel Yi Xu,Kelly Kaili Yang
摘要
We document strong skill matching in Turkish firms' production networks. Additionally, in the data, export demand shocks from rich countries increase firms' skill intensity and their trade with skill-intensive domestic partners. We explain these patterns using a quantitative model with heterogeneous firms, quality choices, and endogenous networks. A counterfactual economy-wide export demand shock of 5% leads both exporters and nonexporters to upgrade quality, raising the average wage by 1.2%. This effect is nine times the effect in a scenario without interconnected quality choices. We use the model to study the conditions for the success of export promotion policies.
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